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原油将步入供需再平衡阶段 油价重心有望抬升

来源:中投投资咨询网 2020-05-27 11:09中投投资咨询网 A-A+

  JIANCHANLIDUJIADA

  4月,OPEC+达成970万桶/天的减产协议,6月,沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋和科威特单方面追加减产力度。根据4月达成的OPEC+减产协议,2020年5—6月减产970万桶/天,减产后的产量为2059.9万桶/天;2020年7—12月减产770万桶/日,减产后的产量为2259.9万桶/天;2021年1—4月减产580万桶/日,减产后的产量为2449.9万桶/天(伊朗和委内瑞拉不减产)。5月11日,沙特阿拉伯表示6月将单方面额外减产100万桶/天,科威特和阿联酋紧随其后也分别表示将在6月额外减产8万桶/天和10万桶/天。这意味着,6月,OPEC原油产量(剔除伊朗和委内瑞拉)将降至1941.9万桶/天,较不受减产协议限制的4月原油产量减少840.2万桶/天,较3月减少651.3万桶/天。

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